florida states? is this tipping towards obama, or does romney still have an even chance there? >> i don't know that you can win florida without hillsborough. if you take a look at election results going back to 1960, hillsborough has predicted the winner every single time. it is the swingiest of the swing counties. so in that sense it's different as a predicter than osceola, the county you mentioned, because osceola has changed a great deal demographically. it's next to orlando, and the real demographic change in orlando which is orange county and outside orlando, osceola, there's been this influx of puerto ricans which has really changed the politics of that area. and that's really in president obama's sweet spot. and from every indication the president was poised to do very well with democratic, with puerto rican and american voters who tend to vote democratic which make them very different than the kind of hispanic voter that florida has accustomed to which is the republican-voting cuban-americans